30th October 2008, 08:16 AM
Posted by gorilla:
1) I expect that the membership base of IfA will continue to grow, and IfA membership to be nearly unversal among archaeologists within the next 10 years. I think there are a number of reasons why this is likely: the main reason is the underlying government-led push towards stronger self-regulation of professions, and archaeology is being pulled along with this. That means that practitioners of archaeology (in the broadest sense) are going to find it necessary to be members of a professional body (e.g. IfA or IHBC).
2) I think in the next 5 years, most archaeological contracting organisations (and most archaeological consulatancies) will have become IfA Registered Organisations, pushed along by the drive towards stronger self-regulation. I believe that the result will be fewer anomalous approaches to employment - including contracts and terms & conditions. I believe that the result of self-regulation of contractors will be the reduction of bad employment practices, that have been the subject of justified complaints on BAJR for years. This will lead to greater uniformity in contracts and terms and conditions.
This process by itself won't lead to any great improvements in pay, but I do believe that it will level the playing field.
3) Archaeological contracting organisations will address technical training in a more coherent fashion than at present. I believe that the driver for this change is technology, and the unrelenting process of ever cheaper and better kit. Technology has the capacity to reduce staff time on site and hence reduce overall costs, but there is a trade-off with the costs of the kit itself (and especially the replacement costs): within 5 years robust wireless devices for onsite recording will be ridiculously cheap. But to really make the most of the benefits of technology on site, archaeologists are going to need to be given more organised technical training. This training will need to be at a number of levels, as their knowledge and competence increases (this is an aspect of CPD that will be directly relevant to site staff).
4) The virtual melt-down of western capitalism in 2008 is going to have an effect on the profession, but is a bit hard to predict what that effect will be. In the 1980s, new UK economic policies had far-reaching effects. The principle of 'polluter pays' (rather than 'government pays') led eventually to the system of 'contractors', consultants' and 'curators' in archaeology today. Private sector ideas and principles now permeate professional archaeology at all levels.
It seems unlikely that everything will be back to normal by Christmas. It seems possible that the confidence that global capitalism will go on delivering growth forever is permanently dented. Might that lead to fewer giant office blocks being built in the centre of London in the future? Apparantly there are doubts whether the third runway at Heathrow will now be built. At one level, the economic downturn will affect the amount of archaeological fieldwork that takes place over the next five years. But might the effects on the archaeological profession be more fundamental, more structural?
Hal Dalwood
Bad archaeologist, worse husband
Quote:quote:Following on from the IfA thread (and others I suppose)... where do you see archaeology in 5 to 10 years time? Do you think things will have changed for the better, worse or (sigh) not at all? What would you do to see things changed?I would like to address gorilla's original question, that started this thread (with apologies for getting distracted during the earlier discussion). Here are some thoughts:
1) I expect that the membership base of IfA will continue to grow, and IfA membership to be nearly unversal among archaeologists within the next 10 years. I think there are a number of reasons why this is likely: the main reason is the underlying government-led push towards stronger self-regulation of professions, and archaeology is being pulled along with this. That means that practitioners of archaeology (in the broadest sense) are going to find it necessary to be members of a professional body (e.g. IfA or IHBC).
2) I think in the next 5 years, most archaeological contracting organisations (and most archaeological consulatancies) will have become IfA Registered Organisations, pushed along by the drive towards stronger self-regulation. I believe that the result will be fewer anomalous approaches to employment - including contracts and terms & conditions. I believe that the result of self-regulation of contractors will be the reduction of bad employment practices, that have been the subject of justified complaints on BAJR for years. This will lead to greater uniformity in contracts and terms and conditions.
This process by itself won't lead to any great improvements in pay, but I do believe that it will level the playing field.
3) Archaeological contracting organisations will address technical training in a more coherent fashion than at present. I believe that the driver for this change is technology, and the unrelenting process of ever cheaper and better kit. Technology has the capacity to reduce staff time on site and hence reduce overall costs, but there is a trade-off with the costs of the kit itself (and especially the replacement costs): within 5 years robust wireless devices for onsite recording will be ridiculously cheap. But to really make the most of the benefits of technology on site, archaeologists are going to need to be given more organised technical training. This training will need to be at a number of levels, as their knowledge and competence increases (this is an aspect of CPD that will be directly relevant to site staff).
4) The virtual melt-down of western capitalism in 2008 is going to have an effect on the profession, but is a bit hard to predict what that effect will be. In the 1980s, new UK economic policies had far-reaching effects. The principle of 'polluter pays' (rather than 'government pays') led eventually to the system of 'contractors', consultants' and 'curators' in archaeology today. Private sector ideas and principles now permeate professional archaeology at all levels.
It seems unlikely that everything will be back to normal by Christmas. It seems possible that the confidence that global capitalism will go on delivering growth forever is permanently dented. Might that lead to fewer giant office blocks being built in the centre of London in the future? Apparantly there are doubts whether the third runway at Heathrow will now be built. At one level, the economic downturn will affect the amount of archaeological fieldwork that takes place over the next five years. But might the effects on the archaeological profession be more fundamental, more structural?
Hal Dalwood
Bad archaeologist, worse husband