Mike.T. Wrote:The fact that Boris is against HS2 is completely irrelevant to the Brexit discussion. So presumably he would be ok if he was pro - Europe !? Also there is no evidence whatsoever that Leave politicians are '' anti infrastructure projects''. Where have they stated this ? They haven't.
Thank you for the feedback Mike. It is a problem with writing. I can see 2000 people read it but no one commented so I assume that everyone understood the part where Boris is against HS2 and that he will be the next PM. This coupled with a massive budget hole could lead to projects being cancelled. Especially, considering there is very little benefit to the project. I will try to re-write that section to make it more clear.
Also, could you explain how you got 'Leave politicians are '' anti infrastructure projects''. I can't figure out where I wrote that. I don't want to give a false impression. If you could let me know how you came to see that as what I said I will try to edit it so there is no mistake. There are just a few Leavers who are against very specific projects.
Mike.T. Wrote:The financial analysts predicting post Brexit doom and gloom recession are probably the same ones who completely failed to predict the last one.
Ah, I think I need to add a section to this. Prediction vs Modelling. No one can do prediction. You can't predict something like the black swan event that caused the last global recession. However, you can model with knowing certain facts. To use an archaeology analogy. You do a desk-based assessment. You look at old OS maps and see that there were buildings on your site 100 years ago. Now you could excavate and find that they were completely wiped out and removed. However, you budget for finding at least foundations and artefacts. What artefacts? You can't predict exactly that you will find 32 buttons but 99 out 100 times you will find something. This is modelling. You can't give exact predictions but you can give ranges of possible finds and thus you budget your project accordingly. This is financial modelling- we can't say GDP will fall exactly 2.58674% but we can say it will fall within a range and be correct.
Hope that clears up your concerns with it.